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Thursday, May 19, 2011

WeatherCoats | NJ Weather: A nice week forecasted after storms today and tomorrow

Forecast for New Brunswick/Rutgers
There's a good chance for a thunderstorm in NJ today, especially due to the fact that some sun is peaking through the clouds in some areas.  Although it is a nice break from the dreary weather we've been having, the sun could also cause some repercussions as it warms the ground.  As the ground warms, the moisture that fell the last few days will begin to evaporate, causing the humidity to rise.  In addition, as the ground warms, the air warms with it, causing parcels of warm air to rise.  If the atmosphere is unstable enough (warm air near the surface and much colder air aloft with no significant inversions) the parcels of now humid air could condense, forming a cloud.  If conditions are right, vertical development of the cloud (continual rising and condensing of the air parcel) could occur, leading to a thunderstorm. 

As for tomorrow, pretty much the same deal with regards to thunderstorms.  

For the rest of the week, some leftover showers could possibly affect Saturday, but no significant rainfall amounts are expected.  Sunday seems to be the best day of the week with a High of around 75.  As for Monday and Tuesday though, some clouds will be moving in with warmer temperatures.  Looking at the GFS Model myself, it seems that there is a slight chance for some rain for those days as a Low Pressure System will be grazing us from the North.  Although the forecast calls for no rain as of now, I wouldn't completely rule out rain for Monday and Tuesday.

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