Live Conditions

Monday, May 23, 2011

WeatherCoats | NJ Weather: A Warm, Wet Week Ahead

Forecast for New Brunswick/Rutgers
So evidently I was right during the last forecast about the rain on Monday and Tuesday, but I was wrong considering the fact that Sunday ended up not being the nicest day with clouds and cool weather all day.  I personally walked out of the house Sunday morning in a t-shirt and shorts... and then immediately walked back in to get myself a jacket.  I do hope you enjoyed Saturday as it did end up as a nice day for most of NJ (North Jersey saw a few pop-up showers).

Unfortunately  for the nice-weather lovers, it looks like a pretty dreary week ahead with a chance of rain for every day in the forecast except maybe for Wednesday.  The forecast models for Wednesday seem to be in a slight disagreement.  The GFS Model is saying that there may be a significant amount of rain Wednesday morning with a Low Pressure System moving right over NJ.  The NAM on the other hand is saying that the Low will take a more northern path and a weaker intensity, giving us only a little rain in the early morning hours.  In general, the NAM is better at short-term forecasts than the GFS, but keep in mind that's a generalization.  Just keep an eye out for that.

As for Monday we'll see the storm system that's been giving the Midwestern and Southern US some severe weather lately move up towards our area and giving us a chance for some rain and thunderstorms.  The chance of thunderstorms will also linger throughout the week as temperatures rise into the upper 80s and create a better chance for instability in the atmosphere.  The more Southern areas of New Jersey may even get into the 90s this week!

Looking further:  Possibly a short stretch of nicer weather?

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