Well that was a wet past couple of days, with records for rainfall in a single day being shattered in some areas! Good news is that we'll have at least one nice day before the wet weather returns for Thursday and Friday. The NAM Forecast Model is suggesting 0.5 to .75 inches of rain will fall with this system, with higher amounts in areas impacted by thunderstorms. The GFS Forecast Model however is racking up with a higher total of possibly 1.5 inches in parts of New Jersey (again, higher in areas with thunderstorms). Because the NAM is a higher resolution model, I'd have to go with its prediction as of now, but I guess we'll have to wait and see on that.
As for the weekend, it looks pretty good with sunny conditions with only a slight chance of rain Sunday night. Now here is where it gets a little... iffy. The NWS forecast calls for mostly sunny conditions for Monday and Tuesday, however the GFS Forecast Model, generally good at forecasting 7 days out, suggests a system developing and dumping some rain from Monday into Tuesday. I would personally keep an eye out for that as most of the time the GFS is correct in showing that a storm is coming.
Looking Ahead: High Pressure builds for the remainder of next week, but will we be impacted by... a hurricane?
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