The National Weather Service has now issued a Blizzard WARNING for the northeast tip of the state along with all of New York City, Long Island, all of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and eastern Massachusetts. Very significant snowfall and strong winds are expected in these areas under the warning and will cause a dangerous situation for anyone outside. A Winter Storm WARNING was issued for all points north and east of Fort Dix/McGuire Airforce Base. Heavy snow is expected in those regions accompanied by strong winds, but not strong enough to be categorized as a blizzard. A Winter Storm Advisory has been issued for South Jersey, where most of the storm will be rain, but will change over to snow for a couple of inches.
As for how much snow, the 18Z runs for the NAM and GFS have come in and it looks like they are in good agreement for an even stronger snowstorm. The GFS is suggesting a little less snow, but I am going to side with the NAM for this one, since it is the better short-term model. Below is my personal snow totals forecast, please remember this is not an official one and is only made for practicing purposes:
I personally have more confidence in the NWS forecast map than mine, as this is only my second time ever attempting to legitimately forecast snow totals!
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